18 September, 2010

New Poll: Brady Up by 10

We Ask America has issued another poll on an Illinois race, and found Republican candidate Bill Brady is leading by 10 percentage points, 42-32. Sampling is the largest of any poll so far, 1,330 Likely Voters.

At the FiveThirtyEight blog at the New York Times, Nate Silver has calculated an 86.3% probability that Bill Brady will be the next governor of Illinois.

RCP currently has the race listed as "Leans Republican", with Bill Brady up by 9.2. If Bill Brady maintains these kinds of leads the closer we get to election day, it will only be a matter of time before the race is moved one more notch to the right to "Likely Republican".

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